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CGS-CIMB lowers Frasers Property’s TP following announcement of $1.28 bil rights issue

Ng Qi Siang
Ng Qi Siang • 3 min read
CGS-CIMB lowers Frasers Property’s TP following announcement of $1.28 bil rights issue
The sum will be raised through the issuance of up to 1,085.3 million new shares at $1.18 per unit.
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Frasers Property Limited (FPL), on Feb 11, announced its plans to raise $1.28 billion via a rights issue to strengthen its balance sheets and enhance business resilience by increasing exposure in the industrial/logistics/business parks segment.

The sum will be raised through the issuance of up to 1,085.3 million new shares at $1.18 per unit.

FPL’s management has indicated that it intends to use $700 million of the proceeds for the acquisition, investment and capital expenditure involved in developing industrial logistics and business park assets. $250 million will be used to develop private funds and joint ventures to invest in property assets. These include commercial and ancillary assets.

Beyond this, up to $330 million may be allocated for strategic investments and acquisitions. This amount will also be deployed for the development/redevelopment of existing and general corporate expenses.

The new shares will be offered on a basis of 37 new shares for every 100 existing shares. The rights issue is not underwritten. Major shareholders TCC Assets Ltd and Thai Beverage Public Company Ltd (ThaiBev) have given an irrevocable undertaking to subscribe for their pro-rata entitlements of the rights shares.

For more stories about where the money flows, click here for our Capital section

According to CGS-CIMB analyst Lock Mun Yee, the rights issue price of $1.18/unit is a 4.8% discount to FPL’s last traded price. It also represents a 3.6% discount to the stock’s estimated post-rights issue price of $1.224. The rights issue price is also a 47.5% discount to FPL’s pro forma adjusted December 2020 net asset value of $2.25 per share.

“In terms of financial impact, the rights issue is likely to expand FPL’s issued share base by around 37% to 4,018.5m shares,” Lock writes in a Feb 11 broker’s report. She sees the firm’s pro-forma net debt-to-equity ratio declining from 1.05 in September 2020 to 0.81 following the rights issue and relevant transaction, strengthening FPL’s balance sheet.

“Meanwhile, proforma FY2020 earnings per share (EPS) could be reduced by 13% on a similar basis while proforma FY20 book NAV/share could dip from $2.58 to $2.20,” warns Lock.

Lock has maintained her “add call” on FPL despite lower EPS expectations. “We lower our FY21-23F EPS estimates to factor in dilution from the expansion in share base and interest cost savings assuming the proceeds are utilised to reduce debt in the near term,” says the analyst. Redeployment of proceeds into new investments have not been priced into this estimate.


SEE: CGS-CIMB bullish on Frasers Property Limited despite Covid-19 hospitality headwinds

Based on this share base dilution, Lock has lowered her estimated revalued NAV and target price by 17% to $2.57 and $1.41 respectively.“We view the rights issue as an attractive entry opportunity to participate in the growth prospects of the company,” she concludes.

As of the lunchtime market close, FPL is trading 0.83% higher at $1.21. P/E ratio is 32.1 and dividend yield 1.24%.

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