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CGSI sees more upside in Food Empire, lifts target price to $4

Felicia Tan
Felicia Tan • 2 min read
CGSI sees more upside in Food Empire, lifts target price to $4
Food Empire is expected to release its FY2025 results in the week of Feb 23. Photo: Albert Chua/The Edge Singapore
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CGS International (CGSI) analyst William Tng has raised his target price on Food Empire to $4 after the stock opened 20 cents higher at $3.22 on Feb 20, surpassing his previous target of $3.18.

“Given the rally in its share price in 2025, (+159%), Food Empire’s three standard deviations (s.d.) above its 10-year (FY2017 to FY2026) average P/E has risen to 20.5 times,” Tng points out in his Feb 19 report. As at the time of his report, Food Empire’s shares were trading at $2.99.

As a result, given his unchanged valuation basis of 3 s.d. above Food Empire’s 10-year average P/E, Tng’s new target price is pased on a multiple of 20.5 times from 17 times.

“Our target 20.5 times P/E places Food Empire at a 7.7% discount to its international coffee peers’ 22.2 times 2026 sector average P/E,” says Tng. It also represents a larget 20.8% discount to the international beverage peers’ 2026 sector average P/E of 25.9 times.

Higher net profits expected for FY2025

Food Empire, which is expected to release its FY2025 results in the week of Feb 23, is likely to see a core net profit of US$68.9 million ($87.5 million) for the FY2025 ended Dec 31, 2025. This is based on strong revenue performance in Russia, a key market for the company, and a stronger Russian ruble against the US dollar (USD), Food Empire’s reporting currency. The figure excludes the revaluation loss reported in the 1HFY2025.

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“As the Russian ruble appreciated slightly against the US dollar (USD) in 4QFY2025 (79.8 versus 80.6 in 3QFY2025), we believe the company likely further increased its sales efforts in Russia in 4QFY2025,” says Tng.

In addition to the higher net profit, Tng has lifted his gross margin assumption for FY2025 by 0.5 percentage points to 30.5%.

Additional re-rating catalysts, in his view, include a bonus issue and higher dividends for the 2HFY2026.

See also: Maybank upgrades SIA to 'hold'; DBS, UOB Kay Hian maintain respective calls but raise target price

The analyst has maintained his “add” recommendation on the stock.

As at 4.18pm, shares in Food Empire are trading 20 cents higher or 6.62% up at $3.22. The stock is up 31.4% year to date and has surged 222% over the past 12 months.

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