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China’s slowing economy remains key headwind for Shanghai office, retail assets: Morningstar

Jovi Ho
Jovi Ho • 5 min read
China’s slowing economy remains key headwind for Shanghai office, retail assets: Morningstar
Morningstar Equity Research’s channel checks pit Hong Kong-listed Swire Properties and Link REIT against Singapore’s CapitaLand Investment and Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust (MPACT). Photo: Bloomberg
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Morningstar Equity Research analyst Xavier Lee is maintaining his fair value estimates on Swire Properties, CapitaLand Investment (CLI), Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust (SGX:N2IU) (MPACT) and Link REIT after visiting their office and retail assets in Shanghai.

Swire Properties and Link REIT are listed in Hong Kong, while CLI and MPACT are listed in Singapore.

“We think China’s slowing economic growth remains a key headwind for consumer spending and business expansion. For retail malls, we note that vacancy rates for Shanghai downtown retail districts remain healthy at 5.4% as of 3Q2024, according to Cushman and Wakefield,” writes Lee in an Oct 15 note. “This should provide some support for market rents that are being weighed down by weak retail sales performance and supply of new retail malls, albeit in the secondary retail areas.”

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