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Golden Agri boosted by downstream performance, analysts maintain 'buy' with higher TPs

Khairani Afifi Noordin
Khairani Afifi Noordin • 2 min read
Golden Agri boosted by downstream performance, analysts maintain 'buy' with higher TPs
Although earnings will reduce y-o-y in FY2023, RHB analysts believes valuations have already reflected this. Photo: Bloomberg
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Analysts at RHB Group Research and OCBC Investment Research (OIR) have maintained their “buy” calls on Golden Agri-Resources (SGX:E5H) with higher target price and fair value estimate of 34 cents and 31 cents respectively, following the planter’s better-than-expected FY2022 results.

Boosted by downstream profits which saw 166% h-o-h jump in ebitda contributions, FY2022’s core earnings of US$1.008 billion ($1.35 billion) exceeded expectations at 120% and 132% of RHB’s and consensus’ bottomline. The higher contributions were driven by the tax levy holiday as well as strong fresh fruit bunches (FFB) growth.

The analysts note that Golden Agri expects downstream margins to normalise moving forward, as the tax levies have been reinstated. The company projects more normal margins of 4% to 6% in 2023.

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