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JP Morgan upgrades UOL to overweight with $12 target

The Edge Singapore
The Edge Singapore  • 2 min read
JP Morgan upgrades UOL to overweight with $12 target
JP Morgan upgrades UOL to overweight (from neutral) with $12 price target because of Thomson Reserve launch, redevelopment of Marina Square and potential REIT IPO
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JP Morgan upgraded UOL Group to an overweight on Apr 20 from neutral previously with a revised price target of $12, up from $9.55. The main reasons are: the 3Q2026 preview of Thomson Reserve with 1,240 units (in partnership with CapitaLand Development); the expected Marina Square redevelopment with further details likely to be revealed in 2Q2026; and the possibility of a REIT at some point.

“UOL's investment profile remains compelling with 10% three-year earnings Cagr, 85%-90% Singapore exposure by assets/Ebitda, and net gearing at a low 20%. The stock has outperformed the STI by 7% year-to-date but has underperformed by 5% since mid March. While we were previously concerned about an extended Iran conflict impacting hospitality RevPAR and residential sales, with progress on US-Iran talks and a potential reopening of the Straits of Hormuz, we expect the market to refocus on identifiable catalysts for UOL and narrow the valuation discount,” the JP Morgan report says.

Interestingly, local interest rates remain at low levels. Overnight Sora has averaged 0.84% since the Monetary Authority tightened the S$NEER slope on Apr 14. Three-month compounded Sora which is currently at 1.04%, has been on a downtrend since January 2025 when it was at 3%.

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