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Market outlook in August to follow historical pattern of post-July slump: DBS

Bryan Wu
Bryan Wu • 5 min read
Market outlook in August to follow historical pattern of post-July slump: DBS
August has consistently been down m-o-m for the STI in non-crisis years since 2010 with an average decline of 3.92% and a median decline of 3.2%
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DBS Group Research equity analysts Yeo Kee Yan and Janice Chua say that the market faces a “correction” this month according to historical trends, following the rebound seen in July.

The Straits Times Index (STI) had a 3.35% month-on-month (m-o-m) rebound in July, in line with Yeo and Chua’s expectations. However, August has consistently been down m-o-m for

the STI in non-crisis years since 2010 with an average decline of 3.92% and a median decline of 3.2%. This is true regardless of US mid-term election years, including 2022, which tends to create a benign environment for US markets in the three months leading to it, say the analysts.

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