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Net interest margins to moderate earnings for banks in 2020: RHB

Samantha Chiew
Samantha Chiew • 2 min read
Net interest margins to moderate earnings for banks in 2020: RHB
SINGAPORE (Dec 23): RHB Group Research is remaining “neutral” on the local banks, as the combined net profit of the three banks – DBS, UOB and OCBC – are forecasted to be flat y-o-y in 2020.
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SINGAPORE (Dec 23): RHB Group Research is maintaining the three local banks – DBS Group Holdings, UOB and Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp – at “neutral” after their combined net profit is expected to come in flat y-o-y while net interest income (NII) growth is expected to be flattish too, given guidance from the banks of net interest margin (NIM) pressure and soft loan growth.

In a Dec 19 report, analyst Leng Seng Choon expects 2020 loan growth to average 3.5% y-o-y for the three banks and estimates NIM to narrow by 4-7bps – factoring in a falling Sibor and competitive home mortgage rates, which "will cut lending yields for the banks", says Leng.

In 3QFY2019 ended Sept, loan growth for the three local banks averaged 5% y-o-y as business loans growth offset home mortgage weakness.

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