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Sembcorp’s missed renewables profit contribution is not 'unexpected' or 'concerning', says Citi

Felicia Tan
Felicia Tan • 2 min read
Sembcorp’s missed renewables profit contribution is not 'unexpected' or 'concerning', says Citi
The Sembcorp ESS. Photo: Sembcorp Industries
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Citi Research analyst Luis Hilado has kept his “buy” call on Sembcorp Industries (SGX:U96) even though the group is likely to miss its 70% profit contribution target from its renewables business by FY2025. Sembcorp first mentioned these targets at its investor day for FY2021. Broadsheet The Business Times said that Sembcorp confirmed the missed target in its Feb 3 report.

However, Hilado remains unfazed as Sembcorp had already flagged the likelihood of this happening at its FY2023 investor day. The missed target is also due to Sembcorp’s strong gas segment due to pricing and likely boosted by the acquisition of Senoko Energy. On Sept 17, 2024, Sembcorp announced that it had signed a sale and purchase agreement (SPA) to acquire a 30% stake in Senoko Energy. The acquisition, which was revealed to cost Sembcorp $96 million, was completed in November 2024.

“Given that management’s FY2028 targets are also based on total shareholder returns (TSR), environmental, social and governance (ESG) and that [the group’s] financials target encompasses total profitability and no longer segmental profit breakdown, we do not view the news as unexpected and/or concerning,” Hilado writes in his Feb 3 report.

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