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‘Shares overpriced’: Morningstar initiates coverage on Pop Mart with fair value 25% below current price

Jovi Ho
Jovi Ho • 3 min read
‘Shares overpriced’: Morningstar initiates coverage on Pop Mart with fair value 25% below current price
Shares of the Hong Kong-listed Labubu-maker have ballooned by nearly 500% in value over the past year. Photo: Bloomberg
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Shares of Hong Kong-listed toy and merchandise manufacturer Pop Mart International have ballooned by nearly 500% in value over the past year. Now, Morningstar Equity Research analyst Jeff Zhang is warning that the Labubu creator’s stock is “overpriced”, even with 107% y-o-y revenue growth in 2024.

Zhang initiated coverage on Pop Mart in a May 29 note, assigning it a two-star rating against Morningstar’s five-tier scale. Zhang’s fair value estimate of HK$164 is also 25% below its current traded price.

The analyst thinks the company, which listed in December 2020, deserves a “no-moat rating” based on the “shorter lifespan” of Pop Mart's top intellectual properties (IPs), limited successes outside of toys and weaker pricing power versus global IP operators.

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