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Momentum gauge signals risk to Southeast Asia currency rally

Bloomberg
Bloomberg • 2 min read
Momentum gauge signals risk to Southeast Asia currency rally
DBS said in a note on Tuesday that the Singapore dollar is likely to consolidate in the near term. Photo: Bloomberg
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The blistering rally in Southeast Asian currencies versus the dollar may lose momentum as investor exuberance over a pending Federal Reserve policy pivot fades, at least according to one closely-watched gauge of momentum.

The Relative Strength Index for a regional gauge — which indicates when moves look stretched — has breached 80, well above levels which a currency is typically considered overbought, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

That’s after Southeast Asian currencies occupied the top four spots of regional performance rankings this month amid bets Fed rate cuts are coming in September.

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