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Awaiting catalysts: China’s post-reopening recovery has disappointed but experts see better prospects ahead

The Edge Singapore
The Edge Singapore • 7 min read
Awaiting catalysts: China’s post-reopening recovery has disappointed but experts see better prospects ahead
Wind turbines at Tianjin port in China. Services picked up by industrial and export growth have been weaker than expected / Photo: Bloomberg
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Taxi drivers are often seen as one of the most dependable observers of societal conditions. Citing his conversations with them, from Beijing to Suzhou to Shanghai, OCBC economist Tommy Xie concludes that China’s atmosphere is “notably pessimistic”. “All taxi drivers I interacted with believed they were earning less this year for various reasons. One common element cited was the increasing competition from new drivers, many of whom turned to driving as a last resort after losing their jobs,” relates Xie in a recent report.

Such pessimism was not expected. When China finally lifted its pandemic-related curbs after three years, locals, businesses and investors across the world were expecting a quick recovery.

Yet, judging from recent data, market commentators are lamenting one after another that the post-reopening recovery of China has fizzled out and that deeper, longer-term structural issues are catching more attention than before.

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