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A rebound in local equities is unlikely to lift spirits

Goola Warden
Goola Warden • 4 min read
A rebound in local equities is unlikely to lift spirits
Short term oversold readings set to trigger a rebound for the STI as it gains strength against the Hang Seng Index
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The only positive observation that can be made from the technical charts is that short-term indicators are near the low end of their range and at levels that normally trigger a rebound in prices.

On the flip side, 10-year US treasury yield (10Y) are somewhat overbought and due for a pullback. Even then, the 10Y main trend is unlikely to reverse its uptrend as its directional movement indicators, which are slower than short-term oscillators, suggest a trending phase for the time being. ADX itself is at 41; even if this indicator retreats, the trending phase may continue as the ADX reading is high.

The trend of the Straits Times Index (STI) is less clear as its ADX is on the low side at 13, an indication of a ranging market. This suggests that support at 3,150 — a level that almost coincides with the close of 3,147 on Oct 4 — is likely to hold. Short-term oscillators are at the low end of their range and at a level where they usually rebound, possibly to 3,226. Traders are able to trade the STI via the STI ETF.  

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