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Semiconductor outlook cloudy; upcycle seen only from 2H2023

Lim Hui Jie
Lim Hui Jie • 5 min read
Semiconductor outlook cloudy; upcycle seen only from 2H2023
While companies that service the consumer segment may see a larger hit to their earnings due to falling demand, those in the automotive and networking sectors may be more resilient. Photo: Bloomberg
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The semiconductor industry, which has enjoyed a bull run throughout most of 2020 to 2022, is showing more signs of slowdown as demand eases off and supply catches up.

Following two years of strong demand, a global slowdown, rising inventories, the Russia-Ukraine war, as well as a shift from goods to services and essentials have emerged as threats to end that run, says Credit Suisse at its 23rd Asian Technology Conference on Sept 6.

In stark contrast to the mad scramble for supply during the pandemic, companies along the semiconductor supply chain are now reversing their inventory building. Asian semiconductor players, critical nodes of this global industry, have started seeing declines in the second quarter of this year and Credit Suisse expects the trend to continue for the next two to three quarters.

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