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Staying fully invested, but reducing the risk

Tong Kooi Ong and Asia Analytica
Tong Kooi Ong and Asia Analytica • 6 min read
Staying fully invested, but reducing the risk
Markets appear ripe for a significant pullback, or worse.
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The higher you rise, the more painful the fall. This is generally true in life and certainly true for many high-flying stocks, and especially those that are loss-making and trading on lofty expectations and valuations.

Case in point: Cloud software stocks as a group were hit hard the previous week. The selloff was triggered by weaker-than-expected 4Q2021 guidance by a market darling, DocuSign. Its shares were routed on Dec 3, falling by a whopping 42%, which wiped US$19.4 billion ($26.5 billion) off its market cap. The stock has rallied strongly during the pandemic on expectations of robust growth but the company has yet to turn a profit. It was trading at almost 24 times trailing sales — yes, sales revenue, not profits — right before the selloff.

Shares in Adobe also came under intense selling pressure, by association. It was the worst-performing Standard & Poor’s 500 stock on that same day — but the drop, while a steep 8% in a single day, was far milder by comparison. Plus, it has since recovered nearly all lost ground. Adobe shares are not exactly cheap either — priced at 47 times forward earnings — but it is part of the smaller group of cloud software companies that are actually profitable.

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