Microsoft Corp. shares plunged by the most in three weeks after the company warned of a slowdown in cloud and business software sales.
Shares were down as much as 4.2% at US$231.97, the lowest since Jan. 4. Microsoft said late Tuesday that Azure cloud-computing sales in the current period will slow by 4 or 5 points — down from the mid-30s percentage-wise at the end of the fiscal second quarter. The business had been a bright spot in an otherwise lacklustre earnings report.
Microsoft, one of the first big technology companies to report earnings, is a bellwether for what analysts expect to be a dismal quarter for most of the industry. Wall Street has been slashing tech earnings estimates for months, and the sector is projected to be the biggest drag on S&P 500 profits in the fourth quarter. Texas Instruments Inc., one of the world’s largest chipmakers, suffered its first sales decline since 2020 in the fourth quarter and gave a tepid forecast Tuesday. IBM reports after the market closes.
Shareholders were initially encouraged by signs of resilience in Microsoft’s cloud business even in a weaker overall market for software and other technology products. But the company’s downbeat forecast brought the focus back to the software giant’s challenges as corporate customers hit the brakes on spending.
Revenue growth of 2% in the second quarter was the slowest in six years, and Microsoft last week said it’s firing 10,000 workers.
The stock fell about 4% to US$232.54 at about 9:48 a.m. New York time. Analysts at BMO Capital Markets downgraded their rating on the stock and at least ten other brokerages trimmed their price targets. The stock dropped 29% in 2022, underperforming the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index.
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Microsoft posted adjusted profit in the period ended Dec. 31 of US$2.32 a share, while sales rose to US$52.7 billion. That compared with average analysts’ projections for US$2.30 a share in earnings and US$52.9 billion in revenue, according to a Bloomberg survey. Excluding currency impacts, Azure revenue gained 38% for the full quarter, slightly topping analyst predictions.
Microsoft said it recorded a charge of US$1.2 billion, or 12 cents a share, in the latest quarter, with US$800 million of that related to the job cuts, which will affect less than 5% of its workforce. The Redmond, Washington-based company said last week the charge will include severance, “changes to our hardware portfolio” and the cost of consolidating real estate leases.
After years of double-digit revenue gains fueled by Microsoft’s accelerating cloud business, and robust growth during the technology spending spree of the Covid-19 pandemic, Chief Executive Officer Satya Nadella acknowledged that the industry is going through a period of deceleration and will need to adjust.
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“During the pandemic there was rapid acceleration. I think we’re going to go through a phase today where there is some amount of normalization in demand,” Nadella said in an interview at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, earlier this month. “We will have to do more with less — we will have to show our own productivity gains with our own technology.”
Azure has been Microsoft’s most closely watched business for years, and has fueled a resurgence in revenue since Nadella took the helm in 2014 and oriented the company around the burgeoning cloud-computing market, where it competes with Amazon.com Inc., Alphabet Inc.’s Google and others. Now Microsoft is turning to artificial intelligence applications to fuel more Azure demand. Revenue from the Azure Machine Learning service has more than doubled for five quarters in a row, Nadella said.
Even as Microsoft looks to cut spending on personnel and real estate, the company will continue to invest in long-term opportunities, Hood said in an interview. As part of its focus on artificial intelligence, Microsoft said Monday it will step up its stake in OpenAI, with a person familiar with the matter saying the new investment will amount to US$10 billion over multiple years.
“We fundamentally believe that the next big platform wave is going to be AI,” Nadella said Tuesday. “And we strongly also believe a lot of the enterprise value gets created by just being able to catch these waves and then have those waves impact every part of our tech stack and also create new solutions and new opportunities.” He said it’s too early to start quantifying what that will mean for Azure demand.
The software maker also plans to continue spending to expand the data centres that deliver cloud services.
That spending “is dictated both by near-term and long-term cloud demand,” Hood said. “Given that we continue to see such strong demand for cloud, you’ll continue to see us spend on capital.” On the call with analysts, she forecast capital expenditures will increase in the third quarter.
(Updated on Jan 25, 2023, at 10.52 PM to add scope of decline in the second paragraph)
