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‘Limited near-term respite’ for Asean as Trump’s tariffs kick in: OCBC

Jovi Ho
Jovi Ho • 3 min read
‘Limited near-term respite’ for Asean as Trump’s tariffs kick in: OCBC
OCBC’s senior Asean economist expects 50 basis points in rate cuts from Bank Negara Malaysia in 2026, but there is a “rising risk” that this could be brought forward to 2H2025 should economic growth slow sharply. Photo: Bloomberg
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Authorities in the Asean-5 economies have been proactive in responding to the US tariff announcement. The tone of response has been realistic, says Lavanya Venkateswaran, senior Asean economist at OCBC, acknowledging challenges for mid- to long-term growth prospects. 

Vietnam, Thailand, Indonesia and Malaysia are among the worst hit, to varying degrees. The Asean-5 economies have adopted a “reconciliatory” approach, suggesting that they are open to negotiations, writes Venkateswaran in an April 9 note on Vietnam, Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia and the Philippines. 

“Most of the economies plan to send a delegation for negotiations to the US this month. Whether this will lead to lower reciprocal tariffs for the Asean-5 economies is unclear at this stage,” she adds.

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