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JPMorgan sees 10%-15% Chinese yuan slide in response to trade war

Bloomberg
Bloomberg • 2 min read
JPMorgan sees 10%-15% Chinese yuan slide in response to trade war
“Manufacturing exporters in EM Asia and Mexico will also be hit — India the least, Malaysia and Vietnam the most,” they predicted. Photo: Bloomberg
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China could allow its yuan to depreciate by as much as 10%-15% in response to any trade wars unleashed by President-elect Donald Trump, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co.

In a note entitled “Bracing for a storm”, JPMorgan economists led by Jahangir Aziz say emerging economies will take a knock from Trump’s pledges for higher trade tariffs but “expect trade policy toward China to shift the earliest and materially.”

“Needless to say, China would be the worst affected,” Aziz wrote.

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