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ECB is about to drop a big clue on how far it will cut rates

Bloomberg
Bloomberg • 4 min read
ECB is about to drop a big clue on how far it will cut rates
While ECB President Christine Lagarde herself has put the range for neutral at 1.75% to 2.25%, this week’s research may offer further clarity on the ECB’s landing zone. Photo: Bloomberg
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The European Central Bank (ECB) is about to throw a crucial piece of information into the debate over where euro-zone interest rates are headed.

Fresh estimates for the neutral rate — a theoretical level that neither limits nor spurs demand in the economy — will be published Friday. President Christine Lagarde has said she and her colleagues “will operate on the basis” of the paper to help determine “what our monetary-policy stance should be.”

The release is arriving as talks intensify over where borrowing costs will settle after five cuts in the deposit rate, to 2.75%. With inflation on course for 2% this year, officials agree that more reductions are coming — particularly with the region’s economy flatlined. But where precisely the sweet spot lies is proving controversial.

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