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Morgan Stanley sees US dollar falling 9% on slowing growth bets

Ruth Carson / Bloomberg
Ruth Carson / Bloomberg • 2 min read
Morgan Stanley sees US dollar falling 9% on slowing growth bets
The US Dollar Index has dropped nearly 10% since a February peak as Trump’s trade policies dent sentiment on US assets and trigger a rethink on the world’s reliance on the greenback. Photo: Bloomberg
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The US dollar will tumble to levels last seen during the Covid-19 pandemic by the middle of next year, hit by interest rate cuts and slowing growth, according to predictions by Morgan Stanley.

A popular gauge of the dollar will fall around 9% from current levels by around this time next year, strategists including Matthew Hornbach predicted in a May 31 note. That will exacerbate a recent decline in the greenback, as trade turmoil weighs on the currency.

“We think rates and currency markets have embarked on sizeable trends that will be sustained — taking the US dollar much lower and yield curves much steeper — after two years of swing trading within wide ranges,” the strategists wrote.

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