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Australia set for first rate cut since 2020 as trade risks mount

Bloomberg
Bloomberg • 4 min read
Australia set for first rate cut since 2020 as trade risks mount
Money markets are pricing about 85% chance of a cut. Yet a pick up in consumer spending and rising uncertainties about the impact of US trade policies may also convince policymakers to stay cautious. Photo: Bloomberg
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Australia’s central bank is poised to cut interest rates for the first time in four years even as the board remains alert to potential inflationary pressures from mounting global trade turmoil and risks of an election splurge at home.

A majority of economists in a Bloomberg News survey, as well as traders, expect the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to finally embark on easing on Tuesday with a 25 basis-point reduction in the cash rate to 4.1%.

That would be the RBA’s first cut since November 2020 and may provide a shot in the arm for Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, who needs to overcome poor polling to secure a second term.

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