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Briefs: MAS extends swap facility with US Fed, UN says trade wars cost 3-5 years of global value chain growth

The Edge Singapore
The Edge Singapore • 4 min read
Briefs: MAS extends swap facility with US Fed, UN says trade wars cost 3-5 years of global value chain growth
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The days where you delegated this to your sustainability team and your corporate affairs team are long gone. — Heineken CEO Dolf van den Brink, on the company’s commitment to ESG, which includes plans to link executive pay with sustainability goal

MAS announces further extension of US$60 bil swap facility with US Fed

The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) has announced the further extension of the US$60 billion ($80 billion) swap arrangement with the US Federal Reserve through Dec 31, 2021.

The MAS USD Facility will also be extended to the same date, offering up to US$60 billion of backstop funding to banks to support USD lending to businesses in Singapore and the region.

According to MAS, the US Fed’s network of USD swap facilities, set up with 14 central banks, has provided a critical backstop of USD funding needs globally, and “contributes significantly to efforts to maintain stability and smooth functioning of financial markets during the Covid-19 pandemic”.

As an international financial centre, Singapore plays a key role in intermediating cross-border USD funding within Asia.

The MAS USD Facility was introduced in March 2020, when global markets crashed because of the worsening pandemic. Since then, it has provided about US$25 billion to banks, for use in Singapore and the region.

The MAS’ ability to maintain ample SGD and USD liquidity in the banking system through daily market operations complements their MAS USD Facility, and enables banks to continue supporting the economic recovery in Singapore and the region, says MAS. — Vivian Yee

Trade war costs global value chains 3-5 years of growth, UN Says

Trade shocks fuelled by unilateral tariffs between the US and China have undone three to five years worth of growth among global value chains in affected countries, according to a UN policy brief.

The report from the United Nations Development Programme looking at the post-pandemic future of global value chains found that trade within those supply lines shrank in absolute terms along with other types of trade. Still, they will remain at the core of economic recovery in the Asia-Pacific region even as global manufacturers consider moving production closer to home.

Tariffs are still being applied on billions of dollars of goods under a US-China trade war that began under former president Donald Trump.

“The trade policy shock is therefore very large,” the UNDP report states. “However, while there is some unravelling of global value chain linkages, there is by no means a wholesale disintegration of the model.”

While the effect of the shocks is “far from negligible”, it says, the absence of policies designed to disrupt production sharing — for example, those targeting use of foreign inputs rather than trade generally — makes it “extremely costly to radically alter the prevalence of global value chain trade”.

The US and China agreed on a partial trade deal in 2020, though China never met its purchase commitments. The US trade representative has since stated that a “significant imbalance” remains in the trade relationship between the world’s two largest economies.

Aside from the trade war, restrictive trade policies during the Covid-19 pandemic have also amplified shocks as producing countries restricted exports, the report states. The supply troubles come as the cost of shipping goods across the globe is skyrocketing, threatening to boost consumer prices and compounding concerns in global markets already bracing for accelerating inflation.

“What we’ve seen both because of the pandemic and because of the trade war is that countries, including China and the US, have actually diversified risk,” said Kanni Wignaraja, UN assistant secretary-general and the UNDP’s Asia-Pacific director.

“Previously there was a lot of talk saying ‘Let’s go for the least cost,’ and the cheapest option started stretching that global value chain,” she said. “Now we’ve seen this double shock, showing the advantage of our global value chain system because you’re starting to see the diversified risk, and more reliance on multiple suppliers in multiple countries.”

The report finds “significant potential” for countries to boost trade through two mega agreements, the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership and the Comprehensive and Progressive Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP), both of which involve a number of economies in Asia.

Nations participating in the CPTPP may enjoy the equivalent of 12 years of additional global value chain integration based on the rate observed between 2000 and 2018, while RCEP countries may see a boost equal to around five years, according to the report.

It also suggests Asian economies, which rely on the export of transport equipment, electronics, textiles and apparel among other goods, should focus on developing general redistribution policies and social-safety nets. Both are “more efficient and effective in the medium- to long-term in promoting human development objectives than is restricting trade and investment flows,” the report says. — Bloomberg

Photo: Bloomberg

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