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S&P warns Australia’s AAA rating at risk from election promises

Swati Pandey / Bloomberg
Swati Pandey / Bloomberg • 4 min read
S&P warns Australia’s AAA rating at risk from election promises
Australia’s major parties have made large spending commitments during a tight campaign ahead of Saturday’s election, from setting aside billions of dollars to build new homes for first-time buyers to tax cuts and higher health spending. Photo: Bloomberg
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S&P Global Ratings warned Australia's prized AAA sovereign credit rating may be at risk if election campaign pledges result in larger structural deficits, debt and interest costs, highlighting fiscal pressures facing the next government.

"The budget is already regressing to moderate deficits as public spending hits post-war highs, global trade tensions intensify, and growth slows," analysts Anthony Walker and Martin Foo wrote in a note on Monday. "How the elected government funds its campaign pledges and rising spending will be crucial for maintaining the rating."

Australia's major parties have made large spending commitments during a tight campaign ahead of Saturday's election, from setting aside billions of dollars to build new homes for first-time buyers to tax cuts and higher health spending. S&P also pointed to more than A$100 billion ($83.77 billion) in "off-budget" spending that's expected between fiscal 2025 and 2029 to reinforce its fiscal concerns.

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