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China should still manage 4% growth despite US tariffs: Natixis CIB

Jovi Ho
Jovi Ho • 3 min read
China should still manage 4% growth despite US tariffs: Natixis CIB
The US is likely to extend the negotiation window, says Natixis CIB’s APAC chief economist. “It simply isn’t realistic to reach a meaningful agreement across so many parties in just a few days.” Photo: Bloomberg
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Despite the US’s harsh tariffs on China, the world’s second-largest economy should still manage to grow around 4% this year by lowering interest rates, expanding liquidity and also offering tax breaks to its exports, says Alicia Garcia Herrero, chief economist, Asia Pacific, Natixis Corporate & Investment Banking (CIB).

US President Donald Trump unveiled on April 2 an additional 34% tariff on all Chinese goods imported into the US, bringing duties on all Chinese imports to the US to over 54% when accounting for existing tariffs. 

During the previous two rounds of US tariff hikes, China’s response was largely symbolic, says Herrero — “loud in rhetoric but restrained in action”. This time, however, Beijing raised import tariffs on all US goods directly to 70%.

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