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DBS reaffirms Malaysia's outlook but flags US chip tariffs as downside risk

Eng Wen Tzer / The Edge Malaysia
Eng Wen Tzer / The Edge Malaysia  • 3 min read
DBS reaffirms Malaysia's outlook but flags US chip tariffs as downside risk
DBS reaffirms Malaysia's outlook, forecasting GDP growth of 4% in 2026 and 4.2% in 2027 but flags US chip tariffs as downside risk
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DBS has set a 4.2% growth forecast for Malaysia in 2027 and maintained its 4% estimate for 2026, but cautioned about the external outlook, especially US tariffs on the semiconductor sector.

The bank also kept its 2026 inflation target for the country at 2.0% through 2027, with an anticipated 25-basis-point overnight policy rate cut by Bank Negara Malaysia in the first half of 2026.

DBS analytics manager Han Teng Chua flagged semiconductor tariffs as a key downside risk, describing the recent talks about US-Malaysia zero-tariff agreement as “far-fetched”.

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