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Bond defaults expected to rise globally, REITs expected to be weaker in 2H20, says OCBC in mid-year credit outlook

Felicia Tan
Felicia Tan • 3 min read
Bond defaults expected to rise globally, REITs expected to be weaker in 2H20, says OCBC in mid-year credit outlook
The OCBC credit research team also foresees “significant risks and opportunities abound” as the world moves into the second half of 2020.
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SINGAPORE (July 8): In 1H20, total issuances in the bond market fell to 39 issues and an issuance amount of $8.3 billion, compared to the 56 issues and record issuance amount of $15.4 billion in 1H19.

The significant drop in the number of issues and issuance size were mainly driven by market volatility and a weaker operating environment brought about by the global outbreak of COVID-19, says OCBC’s credit research team, Andrew Wong, Ezien Hoo, Wong Hong Wei, and Seow Zhi Qi in a report dated July 4.

As such, OCBC Bank is expecting bond defaults around the world to rise, following the Covid-19 outbreak, which has impacted even “traditionally recession proof sectors” such as telecommunications, healthcare, and retail REITs.

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