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Singapore faces uneven recovery in 2023 with impact of China’s reopening still uncertain

Bryan Wu
Bryan Wu • 7 min read
Singapore faces uneven recovery in 2023 with impact of China’s reopening still uncertain
Singapore’s 4Q2022 growth was 2.1% on a y-o-y basis, a slight downward revision from the MTI's advance estimate of 2.2% and easing from the 4% expansion in 3Q2022.
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Economists have weighed in on Singapore’s growth prospects in 2023 after the Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI) maintained its growth forecast at 0.5% to 2.5% for this year.

On Feb 13, the MTI reported Singapore’s 4Q2022 growth of 2.1% on a y-o-y basis and 0.1% on a q-o-q seasonally-adjusted basis — a slight downward revision from the ministry’s advance estimate of 2.2% and easing from the 4% expansion in 3Q2022.

According to OCBC Bank chief economist Selena Ling, this was an “unexpected” revision which brought Singapore’s full year gross domestic product (GDP) growth from the MTI’s flash estimates of 3.8% to 3.6% — a sharp slowdown from the revised 8.9% growth posted in 2021.

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