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Powell’s pivot leaves traders debating size, path of rate cuts

Bloomberg
Bloomberg • 6 min read
Powell’s pivot leaves traders debating size, path of rate cuts
With only three Fed gatherings left this year, that suggests traders see a solid chance that one reduction is super-sized. Photo: Bloomberg
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Now that US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has made it crystal clear that interest rate cuts are coming next month, bond traders are focusing in on bets over the size of that first reduction and the future path of easing.

Powell, speaking Friday at the US central bank’s annual symposium in Wyoming, said the “time has come” for the Fed to lower benchmark rates from their two-decade high, his clearest signal yet that long-awaited rate cuts are imminent. 

While the Fed chair gave no indication on the size of cuts or the path of easing, he noted progress on inflation and said central bankers will be keeping a close eye on the health of the labour market as a guide for where to take policy.

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