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Will 2026 be the year of blockbuster IPOs?

Assif Shameen
Assif Shameen • 10 min read
Will 2026 be the year of blockbuster IPOs?
Musk has hinted at an IPO of SpaceX in 2026, raising more than US$30 billion at a valuation of at least US$1 trillion / Photo: Bloomberg
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For the past several years, in one of the WhatsApp messaging groups that I belong to, we have been encouraging each other to make a bunch of predictions. Among my favourites is the prediction for the benchmark market gauge, the S&P 500’s year-end level. I got 2021 and 2022 spectacularly wrong with my index predictions. In 2023 and 2024, I predicted the S&P 500 would be up at least over 20%. It was up 26.3% in 2023 and 25.02% in 2024 on a total return basis, including reinvested dividends. Last year, I predicted at least a 20% gain for the index, which ended 2025 up 17.9%. I was slightly off the mark.

This year, I thought I should try my hand at predicting the big IPOs in 2026 for my fortnightly column while keeping my annual market index prediction private for my WhatsApp buddies.
The S&P 500 has more than doubled over the past three years, including reinvested dividends, since the market bottomed in late 2022 amid the fastest US interest-rate hiking cycle in history. In more normal times, there is almost always a flurry of new listings as the economy and the market enter a steep recovery phase. Yet, the past two years have been lacklustre for IPOs on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and its tech-heavy, crosstown rival, Nasdaq. The two US bourses raised over US$44 billion ($56.7 billion) from IPOs last year. However, the Hong Kong Exchange emerged as the bourse that single-handedly raised the most, over US$38 billion from IPO listings over the past 12 months. For NYSE and Nasdaq, 2025 was the best year for IPOs since 2021.

Among the year’s larger listings were AI cloud computing firm CoreWeave, Swedish buy-now, pay-later firm Klarna, and crypto plays Circle Internet Group and Bullish. In comparison, the London Stock Exchange saw only six companies go public through an IPO, raising just US$208 million or the lowest amount of capital raised through new listings in over three decades. Singapore IPOs raised US$2.5 billion through 38 new listings last year, while 60 new listings in Malaysia raised US$1.47 billion in 2025.

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