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The buyback mirage? New SGX data shows why patience pays

Hamza El Khalloufi
Hamza El Khalloufi • 7 min read
The buyback mirage? New SGX data shows why patience pays
A DeltaBlock study finds SGX share buybacks yield muted short-term reactions and long-term results that depend on sector and strategy / Photo: Albert Chua of The Edge Singapore
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Across Singapore’s corporate boardrooms, share buybacks have long been seen as a standard lever of capital allocation. It is a strategy used by everyone from blue-chip banks to mid-cap industrials. But does it actually work for market participants?

A comprehensive new study by the research team at DeltaBlock, analysing over 1,000 share buyback operations on the Singapore Exchange (SGX) between 2020 and 2025, suggests the answer is complex. The findings challenge the simplistic narrative that repurchases are an immediate signal of undervaluation that inevitably lifts share prices.

Instead, DeltaBlock’s data reveals a market where short-term reactions are muted, long-term payoffs are highly volatile, and the sheer size of a buyback programme is statistically irrelevant to its success.

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