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UOBKH raises TP on SIA to $6.22, FY2026 earnings to see lift on fuel cost savings

Douglas Toh
Douglas Toh • 4 min read
UOBKH raises TP on SIA to $6.22, FY2026 earnings to see lift on fuel cost savings
Chen expects the group to report a net profit of around $400 million for the 4QFY2025 on May 15 after the market closed, which is a 30% y-o-y from 4QFY2024’s $575 million and a 24% q-o-q fall from 3QFY2025’s $528 million. Photo: Emily Rusch/ Unsplash
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UOB Kay Hian (UOBKH) analyst Roy Chen is keeping his “hold” call on flag carrier Singapore Airlines (SGX:C6L) group (SIA) at a raised target price (TP) of $6.22 from $6.09 previously following a March operation data update.

In the month, passenger load dropped 0.8% y-o-y to 104.9% of pre-pandemic levels, partly due to the shift in the Easter holiday from March in 2024 to April in 2025, while group passenger load factor stood at 84.7%, down 3.0 percentage points (ppts) y-o-y. 

On a quarterly basis, 4QFY2025 passenger capacity and passenger load rose 2.9% y-o-y and 2.8% y-o-y respectively, with passenger load largely flat y-o-y at 86.4% in the period.

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