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Ground momentum seen in China’s discretionary expenditure

Daryl Guppy
Daryl Guppy • 5 min read
Ground momentum seen in China’s discretionary expenditure
Shoppers pass an Apple store on East Nanjing Road in Shanghai, China. Photo: Bloomberg
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There are several questions to answer when it comes to China’s economy.

The first is about whether the economy is recovering. The best guide is not found in industrial statistics, manufacturing output or PMI figures.

Former President Li Keqiang once said he used electricity consumption figures as a more accurate measure of economic activity than official statistics. Using a similar approach, it is useful to track the level of discretionary expenditure as a guide to the health of China’s economy.

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