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China: the 21st century’s gravity well

Tan Kong Yam
Tan Kong Yam • 14 min read
China: the 21st century’s gravity well
Security personnel at the Great Hall of People following the opening session of the National People’s Congress in Beijing. China stands as the gravity well of a shifting international system. Photo: Bloomberg
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Partial market liberalisation was a key success of China’s Deng Xiaoping era, which preserved party control even as the Soviet system collapsed under technological stagnation. This served as the crucial catalyst for a structural reversal of the Industrial Revolution’s “Great Divergence”. This paradigm shift, led by China and mirrored across India, Indonesia, and beyond, is restoring global income and power distributions toward a centre of gravity closer to pre-1800 Eurasia.

Consequently, the arc of 21st-century political economy suggests that the era of “neoliberal globalisation” has already ended, replaced by a more mercantilist, geopolitically conditioned order defined by persistently tense Sino-US relations. China has become Asia’s inescapable gravity well. Just as a physical gravity well bends spacetime to pull nearby objects into its orbit, China’s massive economic and technological weight now dictates the trajectory of regional production. While Beijing masters a model of “imperial cohesion” and widespread industrial AI integration to manage internal pressures, the US is increasingly “America First”, leery of being heavily, expensively engaged in far-flung foreign lands. This shift has transformed global alliances into transactional service contracts and civilisational defence pacts. The result is a world drifting away from universalist governance toward consolidated, great-power spheres of influence, all of which are increasingly anchored in China’s immense productive and technological capacity.

In this new world order, which can be described as national market liberalism, China stands as the gravity well of a shifting international system:

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