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​​Navigating the currents of Indonesia

Chin Meng Tee, Andrew Wong, Frances Cheung & Christopher Wong
Chin Meng Tee, Andrew Wong, Frances Cheung & Christopher Wong • 4 min read
​​Navigating the currents of Indonesia
We maintain our neutral credit direction for INDON for now, but we will closely monitor onshore developments and review this outlook in due course. Photo: Bloomberg
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On Jan 28, MSCI raised concerns about “investability issues” and data transparency in the Jakarta Composite Index (JCI). The index provider stated that if insufficient progress on transparency is achieved by May, it will reassess Indonesia’s market accessibility, sparking fears of a possible downgrade from emerging-market to frontier-market status.

In response, the Indonesia Stock Exchange has pledged to work closely with MSCI to improve data transparency, including plans to lift the minimum free float on stocks to 15% from 7.5%. Shortly after, on Feb 5, Moody’s followed suit by revising Indonesia’s sovereign credit rating outlook from “stable” to “negative”.

Consequently, as of Feb 10, the JCI sank around 10% from Jan 26, reflecting the impact of MSCI’s free-float concerns and Moody’s negative outlook.

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