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USD may peak in later part of 2025; gold prices could rise despite strong USD, says Bank of Singapore

Felicia Tan
Felicia Tan • 3 min read
USD may peak in later part of 2025; gold prices could rise despite strong USD, says Bank of Singapore
Analyst Sim Moh Siong believes tariff risks could keep the USD supported in the early stages of US President-elect Donald Trump’s second term in office. Photo: Bloomberg
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After experiencing a strong 2024 with the US exceptionalism narrative helping to strengthen the US dollar (USD) against every other G10 currency, the USD could see a peak in 2025 but in the later part of the year, says Bank of Singapore’s (BoS) currency strategist, Sim Moh Siong.

“The buzz this time last year was that 2024 could see USD trending sideways or weaken. But things could not be more different,” the analyst writes in his Jan 6 report.

Now that the US Federal Reserve is guiding for only two rate cuts in 2025, down from the four it guided in September 2024, the US central bank’s more hawkish stance is currently better reflected in the USD, he adds.

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