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US-led global recession may happen from Trump’s reciprocal tariffs: BMI

Felicia Tan
Felicia Tan • 4 min read
US-led global recession may happen from Trump’s reciprocal tariffs: BMI
The team has retained its forecasts for now, although it remains watchful of any changes. Photo: Bloomberg
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A US-led global recession may happen from the reciprocal tariffs announced by the White House on April 2 (April 3 Singapore time), says BMI, A Fitch Solutions Company.

The tariffs comprise a universal rate of 10% that will take effect on April 5. They will be complemented from April 8 by a series of other reciprocal measures excluding oil & gas, bullion and “some minerals”.

The measures, once implemented, would take the US effective tariff rate to about 23% from about 2.5% in January, which “surprised significantly to the upside of most expectations”.

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