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Could the S&P 500 reach 7,007 under Trump?

Jovi Ho
Jovi Ho • 8 min read
Could the S&P 500 reach 7,007 under Trump?
A news ticker reads ‘S&P 500 Index cracks 5,000 level’ on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, US, on Friday, Feb 9, 2024 / Photo: Bloomberg
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In nearly every outlook report, across almost every market and asset class, economists and analysts agree on one thing — there is no greater destabilising force ahead than the second term of US President-elect Donald Trump.

Trump 2.0 has been branded “contentious” by Standard Chartered and the soon-to-be 47th US president has so far put forth “conflicting economic policy goals”, according to DWS. Still, some are more sanguine; Julius Baer thinks the current consensus that the second Trump administration will increase deficits and reignite inflation appears “dangerously simplistic”.

“Trump’s appointees, including Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy to the new Department of Government Efficiency and Scott Bessent as Treasury Secretary, signal that we may be at the dawn of a radically new era in US economic policy, one focused on libertarian principles of small government and deregulation,” writes Yves Bonzon, group chief investment officer of Zurich-based Julius Baer.

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