The impact of shareholder activism

“Broadly speaking, activism has been on the rise since the global financial crisis as part of the circular change on how the wider investment world views its role in managing companies. There has been a view that the board may manage the company, but shareholders have a greater role to play in overseeing the board,” says Josh Black, editor-in-chief of Activist Insight, a publication based in New York and London.

More activism campaigns could occur going forward, due to the strong economic growth, he adds. “This creates more opportunities for activists to say they should do this or that, or point out underperforming companies that still have cash and can return it to shareholders, invest it or become a takeover target. There are far more options when companies are doing well, and I think you will start to see more activism whenever there is dilemma for management that stalls corporate decision-making.”

According to the Activist Insight HalfYear Review 2018, most of the global activism centred on dual-class share structures, mergers and acquisitions (M&A) and gender diversity, along with a shift in attention towards environmental, social and governance (ESG) issues. In Asia, there was a rise in activism that targeted companies’ business strategies and a decline in those seeking boardroom representation.

Foreign activist funds such as Third Point and Elliott Management Corp are increasingly targeting Asian companies, as the US market has reached saturation point. But the bulk of shareholder activism in Asia is still undertaken by domestic activists.

“Shareholder activism is on the rise in Asia, but mostly in South Korea and Japan, due to the maturity of their corporate governance frameworks. That said, other parts of the region are also seeing an increase in such activities,” says Roland Jude Thng, who runs the Judah Value Activist Fund of Swiss-Asia Financial Services.

“These activities will only increase in the future, due to the evolution of financial markets. The US and European markets serve as a precedence to what will happen in Asia,” Thng says.

The Judah Value Activist Fund invests in the Hong Kong and Singapore markets. It has US$44 million under management and targets annual returns of 20% to 30%.

Activism can be defined as any type of investor influence on a company’s decisions, including institutional investors that recommend the other shareholders vote a certain way. However, some associate this more commonly with hedge-fund activism, where the funds acquire shares of the target company and issue various demands — at times using aggressive or controversial methods — to increase shareholder value.

A recent example in Malaysia was the Minority Shareholders Watch Group’s vote against the re-election of two independent directors of Sapura Energy and payment of their benefits in July, due to excessive remuneration of the CEO. The Employees Provident Fund was reported to have backed this move.

Other issues often brought up by activists are the return of excess cash to shareholders, proxy fights to place a representative on the board and M&A suggestions.

“We do not draw a strict line here, as every thing from actively speaking to the board... to proxy fights is essentially ‘activism’,” says Jan F Moermann, chief investment officer and managing director of Quarz Capital Asia (Singapore), an activist fund. “Some activists like to work behind closed doors and nobody knows they are ‘activists’, while others are more vocal about their engagements and receive more media coverage.”

Activist hedge funds usually acquire a significant amount of shares in a company that they think is undervalued. After acquiring the equity, they launch campaigns to force the company to adhere to their suggestions. On the other hand, institutional investors could partner hedge funds or announce their intent to vote a certain way.

According to Moermann, activist campaigns will always be present as long as there are companies that are being run inefficiently. Quarz invests in companies around the world, including the likes of Apple and Switzerland-based Coltene Holding.

“Activists are just shareholders who are willing to speak up and improve shareholder value. Many small shareholders invest their hard-earned retirement funds in companies that languish for a long time and do not increase dividends or grow their share price,” says Moermann.

“We help investors by stepping up to the task, raising our concerns and making recommendations to increase shareholder value. Small shareholders, in my view, should always do their own research before making investment decisions, but they can also follow activists to see what [the latter] propose.”

Growth factors

There are several factors driving growth of shareholder activism in Asia, including the demand for good corporate governance and the protection of minority shareholders. That is why most of the activity in the region occurs in developed markets such as Singapore, Hong Kong, South Korea and Japan, which have introduced corporate governance and stewardship codes in recent years.

Japan’s Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has embraced shareholder activism as part of his economic policy. In the past, many activists avoided Asian markets, due to their lack of transparency and weak corporate governance, according to various reports. But now, companies with these weaknesses have become attractive targets.

“Western investors are probably looking at countries with greater political momentum behind good corporate governance. In Japan, you have the Abe reforms and in South Korea, you have the anti-chaebol movements. They are also probably looking for countries with a looser monetary policy,” says Activist Insight’s Black.

For instance, US-based giant activist fund Elliott Management urged automotive conglomerate Hyundai Motor Co last year to adopt a holding company structure and implement a clearer shareholder returns policy. The South Korean company responded to this with a plan that addressed its concerns.

According to reports, there has been a change in culture, with retail investors becoming more aware of their rights and accepting of activists’ call for a move away from poor practices such as generational succession and nepotism.

“In a class of Asian students, the students are always shy to ask questions. That is just the Asian culture of subtlety. But the moment a few students speak up, the others are more open to talk. When there are fruitful discussions among the different participants, new ideas may be generated, which benefits everyone in the discussion. That is the reason I have always encouraged shareholders to speak up,” says Thng of Judah Value Activist Fund.

“Investors should learn about their rights. After all, it is their hard-earned cash that they have used to buy stakes in companies. Their share ownership entitles them to voice out their concerns. Fluctuations in share prices are not a guarantee, and the key is to push for improvements in the fundamentals. Sooner or later, the share price will follow.”

Both Moermann and Thng’s funds focus on value investing, particularly among small and mid-cap companies that are seldom covered. The presence of undervalued companies and the dearth of information present an opportunity for activist funds.

“Especially in Singapore and Hong Kong, activists find undervalued, high-quality companies compared with those in the US and the European Union. We only invest and get active if the companies are very undervalued and inactive,” says Moermann.

“In Asia, a lot of companies are kept undervalued so that the majority shareholder can take the company private at a cheap price, which hurts the small shareholders. [What we do is] increase volume and liquidity, close information asymmetries and increase value for all shareholders.”

Thng made his move to activist investing in 2014, when he noticed a number of undervalued investment opportunities in Singapore. That was when he founded activist hedge fund EVA Capital SP.

To Thng, the discrepancy between share price and value is a signal for investors to take a deeper look. “We primarily set our sights on companies in the small and mid-cap space, with strong balance sheets. My focus are small and mid-caps typically majority-owned by families,” he says.

“I would prefer to take a stake, sit on the board if possible and grow the company with the existing board and management team. The basis is always undervaluation. I can choose to sit on the undervalued stock or sell it immediately after the shareholder value increases.”

Meanwhile, there is a growing emphasis on ESG principles among institutional investors whose holdings are increasingly global. Many of them are now either engaging in activism themselves or partnering hedge funds to push for greater ESG performance. For example, prominent US-based hedge funds Jana Partners and ValueAct Capital have launched other funds to push companies to adopt ESG practices.

The world’s largest asset manager, BlackRock, waged its first campaign against Hong Kong-listed G-Resources Group in February 2016, voting against its plan to sell its main asset. BlackRock stated that investors should be compensated if a company sells most of its main assets when it wants to move into another industry, according to Bloomberg.

BlackRock is an example of a prominent index fund provider engaging in shareholder activism. Index funds have an inherent inability to divest companies from the indices they track, thus they are incentivised to increase monitoring to improve performance.

“With index funds, it is more about the votes. They are doing it to win the votes of the top investors. Activists are working closely with pension funds like Jana [Partners in the US] and the California [State Teachers’ Retirement System]. They ran a campaign on Apple in January for more parental controls on the iPhone, [for example],” says Black.

Much research has been done to determine the impact of shareholder activism. As a World Economic Forum article published in August last year points out, shareholder activists can be destructive if they push for higher short-term returns at the expense of the company’s long-term growth.

Some say the methods used by activist hedge funds could have a negative impact on company morale. According to news reports, hedge fund campaigns have sometimes landed in controversy, due to their aggressiveness in pushing their agenda.

“We sometimes see a bump in the share price when an activist discloses a position or makes a certain demand, particularly if the CEO has been underwhelming and the activist wants to get rid of him,” says Black. “The argument that it will negatively affect the company would be that the management is distracted and not able to follow its strategic objectives, and these things can last for a long time.”

There is such a stereotype of hedge fund activists globally, Thng observes. However, he counters: “Our fund simply believes in doing what is right — long-term value creation where existing shareholders get to profit together.”

Further, activist investors can provide analysis of the target company’s weaknesses, while long-term moderate activist investors can deter companies from engaging in bad practices such as excessive executive compensation.

According to the Activist Insight report, last year saw many proxy fights, while many settlements have occurred this year. “Settlements are probably gentler on the share price, but it means less information is being released to the market because both sides are not making the cases fully public and the individual investor won’t necessarily get to see the counterpoints of the argument,” the report noted.

Amundi Asset Management’s report reviewed relevant studies and came to the conclusion that activism creates shareholder value and increases ESG ratings. Large shareholders can benefit from costly methods, such as independent vote research, behind-the-scenes engagement and takeover, while small shareholders can rely on exit, vote recommendations and shareholder proposals.

According to a 2015 research article in the Columbia Law Review, activist campaigns run by hedge funds do not cause initial positive share price spikes that are followed by abnormal negative returns in the long run. And there was no evidence that upon the exit of an activist investor, the returns slump.

“Usually, the volume increases when people start to look into the research we make public. We do not let the companies get away easily. Most companies prefer to give something, and they understand that in the end, the company belongs to the shareholders. We think the board and management will be more accountable to the public and shareholders [following our reports],” says Moermann.

However, the impact may be more long term in some cases. According to a 2016 research by financial data provider FactSet, which looked at 269 completed activist campaigns launched by members of SharkWatch50 from 2010 to August 2016, the average shareholder return for targeted companies only outperformed the Standard and Poor’s 500 Index and industry peers three years after the campaigns began. SharkWatch50 is a list of the 50 most significant activist investors in the US.

“Empirical evidence has shown the positive impact of shareholder activism. I see more benefits than risks. However, these benefits may be over the long term rather than the short term,” says Thng.

Not every activist campaign is successful. But even with failed campaigns, there may be positive consequences. According to reports, although BlackRock failed to win the votes of the other shareholders, G-Resources engaged in discussions with the firm to distribute special dividends after the sale.

In some cases, the results are harder to determine. For example, PepsiCo was attacked by famous activist Nelson Peltz in 2012, when he pushed for the company to separate its profitable snacks division from the struggling beverage division. Pepsi rejected the proposal, but the adviser of Peltz’s Trian Fund Management was eventually added to the board as an independent director.

Recently, outgoing PepsiCo CEO Indra Nooyi was quoted in interviews as saying the company could have achieved its goal of diversifying into healthy food and drinks faster had it not been for the distraction of activist investors. But according to Peltz’s statement when he divested from PepsiCo in 2016, the multinational company had addressed many operational weaknesses identified by the fund and that had contributed to its positive performance over the years.

Nevertheless, Black believes that shareholder activism will not cause the economy to suffer or force companies to focus more on short-term gains. “That is probably a risk if there are too many inexperienced players putting themselves out there as activists and trying to influence companies without a deeply informed view of how companies should be run. But we do not have so much risk with the larger activist funds, which by and large are better informed and have a lot of research capabilities,” he says.

What can investors do?

Interestingly, investors can track the activities of activist investors and benefit from their actions and campaigns. It can be difficult, however, to take advantage of this because much of the gains happen before the announcements are made, according to an interview on Market Watch.

Some people recommend investing in value index funds because they track stocks that may become targets of activists, since they tend to look for undervalued stocks. Meanwhile, a few funds have sprung up to track activist investors. One example is the Event Driven Opportunities Fund by Fidelity, which invests in companies that engage in activism campaigns and other events.

Another example is the 13D Activist Fund. It invests based on 13D filings, which is a method of identifying activist campaigns. Investors in the US who accumulate more than 5% of the shares need to complete a 13D filing with the regulator to reveal their identity.

Exchange-traded fund provider Global X used to offer the Guru Activist Index ETF, but it was liquidated last year due to a lack of interest and growth prospects.

Tan Zhai Yun is a writer with Personal Wealth at The Edge Malaysia