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Coal’s four-year lows hide a coming global supply squeeze

Bloomberg
Bloomberg • 6 min read
Coal’s four-year lows hide a coming global supply squeeze
Worldwide, companies have proposed new projects that will supply about 1.8 billion metric tonnes per year of thermal coal to feed power plants — but 76% of that is in China and India. Photo: Bloomberg
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Languishing global prices today mask a very different future for the world’s most-consumed source of power.

Australian thermal coal contracts, the benchmark for Asia, are hovering close to US$100 ($135.13) a tonne thanks to a mild winter and global oversupply, a price level last seen in May 2021, before the energy market upheaval that followed Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

While that is battering producers and will cheer those predicting the end of the dirtiest fossil fuel, it’s a trough that may not last.

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