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Crops swing to losses as Trump signals possible end to Iran War

Hallie Gu / Bloomberg
Hallie Gu / Bloomberg • 2 min read
Crops swing to losses as Trump signals possible end to Iran War
Grain and oilseed prices had surged in the past few days as the Middle East conflict lifted energy prices and disrupted fertiliser flows
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(March 10): Crop prices fell alongside a slump in crude oil after comments from US President Donald Trump eased concerns the war in the Middle East would be long-lasting.

Chicago wheat declined nearly 3% at market open, before clawing back some losses. The futures contract had surged as much as 4% in the previous session. Soybean oil, a key feedstock for biofuel that had benefited from rallying crude oil, also retreated as much as 2.6%.

Grain and oilseed prices had surged in the past few days as the Middle East conflict lifted energy prices and disrupted fertiliser flows, which in turn raised crop production costs and stoked food security concerns. Late on Monday, Trump said he expected the war with Iran to be resolved “very soon” and signalled plans to waive oil-related sanctions.

The heightened volatility has kept many traders on the sidelines, hesitant to finalise strategies as the market swings wildly.

The Middle East war premium had been the driving force in agricultural markets but with crude backing off significantly from its overnight highs, buyers turned cautious, the Hightower Report said in a note. The commodities researcher added global wheat supplies are adequate.

See also: Aluminium extends retreat as Middle East supply concerns ease

Still, concerns remain heightened as the Strait of Hormuz, a key transit point for commodities, remains all but closed, and military strikes continue across the region.

There is no doubt that volatility will remain high and sensitivity to energy prices will remain significantly elevated this week, the Hightower Report said.

Grains and vegetable oil prices in China also fell after hitting the upper trading limit on Monday. The most actively traded soybean meal futures on the Dalian Commodity Exchange dropped up to 2.8%.

See also: Aluminium touches 2022 high as Iran war stokes supply crunch

Prices

  • Wheat in Chicago fell 1.4% to US$5.95 a bushel as of 12.17pm in Singapore.
  • Soybean oil was down 0.7% at 65.62c/lb.
  • Soybeans and corn also dipped.

Uploaded by Arion Yeow

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