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Economists mixed on Singapore’s August 11.3% y-o-y NODX slowdown

Douglas Toh
Douglas Toh • 7 min read
Economists mixed on Singapore’s August 11.3% y-o-y NODX slowdown
Oxford Economics’ Shena Yue notes that while August data was weaker than expected, it could “reflect reversion” following July's surge, thus suggesting a “possible” upside in September. Photo: Bloomberg
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Following the release of Singapore’s August non-oil domestic export (NODX) data, which contracted 11.3% y-o-y, the economist at UOB Global Markets and Global Research (UOB) has lowered his full-year forecasts.

UOB’s Jester Koh has lowered his 2025 forecast range to between a 1% y-o-y decline to a 1.0% y-o-y increase, from a range of 1.0% to 3.0% y-o-y growth previously.

He notes in his Sept 17 note that Singapore’s NODX performance “significantly” came below both Bloomberg’s consensus forecast of an 0.8% marginal y-o-y growth and Koh’s more cautious projection of 2.5% lower yo-y.

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