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Singapore banks will bear the brunt of lower interest rates, says JP Morgan

Douglas Toh
Douglas Toh • 3 min read
Singapore banks will bear the brunt of lower interest rates, says JP Morgan
The strength of the Singapore dollar, they note, has been attributed to the hedging flows of US assets held by public and private sector investors. Photo: Albert Chua
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The equity macro research team at JP Morgan (JPM), Khoi Vu, Rajiv Batra, Mervin Song, Terence M Khi and Harsh Wardhan Modi, finds that Singapore-focused REITs or stocks with resilient cashflows and leveraged balance sheets stand to gain from declining interest rates.

The team writes in their June 15 report: “While banks will bear the brunt of lower interest rates, we believe the sector could still be supported by resilient yields and strong inflows from domestic funds subscriptions.”

On the Monetary Authority of Singapore’s (MAS) $5 billion equity market development programme (EQDP), the team sees that the inflow could greatly benefit quality mid-cap stocks and stocks with upside potential from asset recycling.

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