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Southeast Asia’s challenges in managing downside risks

Manu Bhaskaran
Manu Bhaskaran • 10 min read
Southeast Asia’s challenges in managing downside risks
Rising inflation and slower growth cast shadows over the global economy / Photo: Albert Chua of The Edge Singapore
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The war in Iran has reached the one-month mark, and there are tentative signs of a negotiated end. Whether it actually concludes or not, this is a good moment to look beyond the confusion of daily headlines and consider its broader implications.

We see it as a watershed event that will reshape how our region operates. Most significantly, it will create a more challenging geopolitical environment to which smaller and less powerful countries must adapt.

On the economic front, the regional economies will certainly have to endure slower growth, higher inflation and downward pressures on their currencies in the coming year or so. Beyond those near-term difficulties, though, the economic changes unleashed by today’s war may not be all bad for Asia — the countries that are nimble and imaginative will find many opportunities to advance their interests.

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