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Uptrend of interest rates remains but treasury yields may have less upside

Goola Warden
Goola Warden • 4 min read
Uptrend of interest rates remains but treasury yields may have less upside
After the Fed raised FFR by 75 bps on July 27, the forecast is for slower hikes this year, for FFR to hit 4% by 1Q2023
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Economists at UOB Global Markets & Economics Research expect both the Sora (Singapore overnight rate average) and yields on 10-year Singapore Government Securities (SGS) to move higher from current levels.

“Our forecasts for short-term interest rates are poised to head higher into the first half of 2023. We see … Sora at 2.60% by end 2022,” the UOB economists say in an update on July 28, the day after the US Federal Reserve Board announced a further 75 basis points (bps) hike in the US Federal Funds Rate (FFR).

Following the latest hike, the FFR is now at 2.5%, the highest since 2019. During that rate hike season, which took place from 2017 to 2019, the pace was a lot more measured.

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