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China’s economic growth beats forecasts ahead of tariff hikes

Bloomberg
Bloomberg • 3 min read
China’s economic growth beats forecasts ahead of tariff hikes
China's 1Q2025 GDP growth was 5.4%, above the most forecasts. Retail sales Retail sales increased 5.9%, much stronger than the 4.3% gain expected by economists
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China’s economy expanded at a faster pace than expected in the first three months of 2025, though its outlook is deteriorating rapidly due to Donald Trump’s massive tariffs.

China’s gross domestic product grew 5.4% in the first quarter from a year ago, according to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on April 16. That’s better than the 5.2% consensus estimate by economists polled by Bloomberg.

Industrial output expanded 7.7% in March from a year ago, the fastest growth since June 2021. Retail sales increased 5.9%, the best pace since December 2023 and much stronger than the 4.3% gain expected by economists.

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