One of Southeast Asia’s biggest conglomerates faces its gravest challenge yet as the pandemic roils Genting group’s collection of casinos, cruises and resorts.
Cracks were already starting to show even before cruise operator Genting Hong Kong Ltd. said it would suspend payments to creditors. This week, the group holding company and a Malaysian unit could show some of their worst declines to earnings as second-quarter results are due.
Earnings Estimates for 2020
- Genting Bhd.’s net income seen shrinking 75% from a year ago to 515 million ringgit ($168.8 million) in 2020
- Genting Malaysia Bhd. set to swing into 227 million ringgit net loss this year, from 1.5 billion ringgit profit in 2019
- Genting Singapore Ltd. seen reporting $128 million net loss for 2020, from $678 million net income last year
Genting adds to a growing list of global business empires whose reliance on travel and leisure made them vulnerable to border closures and restrictions imposed by countries seeking to curb the spread of the coronavirus. The conglomerate has resorted to unprecedented moves to adapt, including embarking on its first group-wide pay cuts and shrinking its workforce at its Malaysian unit.
“There’s a risk of course of a related party transaction with one of the Genting group bailing out Genting HK and if that happens, then clearly the group can be hurt,” said Mak Yuen Teen, associate professor at the National University of Singapore Business School, who specializes in corporate governance.
While Genting Hong Kong is a separate entity and defaults at that level won’t trigger cross defaults on the group’s debt, Group Chairman Lim Kok Thay’s role as a common shareholder has sent jitters across the conglomerate.
It’s likely that Lim will be able to work out a deal with creditors considering the family name and their reputation, said Banny Lam, head of research at CEB International Investment Corp. The cruise operator may have deliberately slipped into a technical default to force creditors to work with them, he added.
“The message to creditors is clear: If you insist on a default, we may declare bankruptcy and you lose everything,” Lam said. “They’re pushing creditors and banks for a restructuring and more time.”
