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United Hampshire US REIT to benefit from US rate cycle

Teo Zheng Long and Goola Warden
Teo Zheng Long and Goola Warden • 8 min read
United Hampshire US REIT to benefit from US rate cycle
United Hampshire US REIT's DPU decline may be over with certainty of distributable income as interest costs dip coupled with an accretive acquisition and divestments above book
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As of Jan 21, United Hampshire US REIT (SGX:ODBU) (UHU REIT) has risen by 10.7% over the past 12 months, matching the FTSE REIT Index’s gain over the same period. The REIT is up 16% since Liberation Day, trailing the FTSE REIT Index’s 22.2% gain.

REITs’ unit prices and their cost of debt, the largest operating expense item for S-REITs, are affected by interest rates. From 2022 to 2024, US interest rates rose by an unprecedented 5%, from near zero to 5.25%–5.5% at the start of 2024.

“REIT prices were quite badly impacted,” notes Gerard Yuen, CEO of UHU REIT’s manager, referring to the interest rate cycle. REITs’ unit prices are based on a spread between distributions per unit (DPU) yield and risk-free rates. The higher the risk-free rates, the lower the unit prices.

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