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Falling regional trade to continue as global recession looms: Oxford Economics

Amala Balakrishner
Amala Balakrishner • 2 min read
Falling regional trade to continue as global recession looms: Oxford Economics
“While we expect manufacturing activity and external demand to pick up as global lockdowns are loosened, any rebound in activity is likely to be modest compared to the size of the fall in 2Q20,” notes Oxford Economics.
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(May 29): Signs of weakness in global economies and trading patterns have become more pronounced in April, with real merchandise exports in the Asian region dipping 5.5% in USD terms.

While this is a more modest decline from the 7.5% fall recorded in 1Q20 ended March, Oxford Economics’ lead economist Sian Fenner says this is temporary.

“We think this will be temporary, as the boost was due to exporters ramping up shipments to make up for the shortfalls caused by supply disruptions in Q1,” she points out in a May 29 note.

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